Gambling
Re: Gambling
I do division winners parlays every year and tend to come pretty close. The Eagles end of season collapse was what made me miss last year, but hit on 7/8. Woulda won like $15K off $30 or something.
I found it a little tricky deciding this year, so I wanted to be more data driven on my picks. Running through PFF data and find that in the last 2 seasons the #1 offense has won the division in every division except the NFC South and AFC East. Bucs have been dominating the south and the Bills/Dolphins have been a coinflip.
Basically the best offense won the AFC South, AFC North, AFC West, NFC North, NFC West, and NFC East the last 2 years and im gonna assume the trend continues decently often in other seasons.
So my division winners parlay this year is trying to pick best offenses in these. I'm thinking DET/HOU/PHI/KC/BAL/SF/TB/MIA is my "most likely" scenario and may hedge with tossing in a few scenarios with LAC, NYJ, DAL, GB, ATL included
I found it a little tricky deciding this year, so I wanted to be more data driven on my picks. Running through PFF data and find that in the last 2 seasons the #1 offense has won the division in every division except the NFC South and AFC East. Bucs have been dominating the south and the Bills/Dolphins have been a coinflip.
Basically the best offense won the AFC South, AFC North, AFC West, NFC North, NFC West, and NFC East the last 2 years and im gonna assume the trend continues decently often in other seasons.
So my division winners parlay this year is trying to pick best offenses in these. I'm thinking DET/HOU/PHI/KC/BAL/SF/TB/MIA is my "most likely" scenario and may hedge with tossing in a few scenarios with LAC, NYJ, DAL, GB, ATL included
